CrysttalCasscade

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $526.56
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $250.02
Potential profit: $246.14
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $6.78
Potential payout: $120.02
Potential profit: $113.24
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $15.83
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $49.17
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $15.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?