Polymarket Trader

sasaeru

0x0d5e1a047bf273f7eaf4434968d5911790f2e8d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.64
Realized PnL: $14.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $1.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Aster all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $1.08
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Solana above $190 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Ethereum all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Ravens position

Steelers vs. Ravens

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

DeepSeek V4 released before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Ethereum all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

No 94% 1.06 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 99.2% 1.01 shares
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?

No 85% 1.18 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?

No 98.1% 1.02 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

No 91% 1.1 shares
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?

No 60% 1.67 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 97.9% 1.02 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

No 65% 1.54 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

No 97.2% 5.14 shares
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?

No 95% 1.05 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97.1% 1.03 shares