Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $22.05
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $877.95
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Polymarket Trader
ChiangWan-an
0x0d5ee5c536ccd78d179487b3d7e43ae4304d5c24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.32K
- Realized PnL
- $1.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.61
- Potential profit
- $748.61
- User PnL
- -$718.68
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $24.27
- Potential payout
- $724.51
- Potential profit
- $700.24
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $13.4
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $407.81
- Potential payout
- $431.09
- Potential profit
- $23.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $43.72
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $11.51
- Potential payout
- $291.46
- Potential profit
- $279.95
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267.74
- Potential profit
- $267.74
- User PnL
- -$50.1
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $232.06
- Potential profit
- $228.93
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $167.29
- Potential payout
- $224.55
- Potential profit
- $57.26
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.01
- Potential profit
- $202.01
- User PnL
- -$1.39
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $86.52
- Potential payout
- $198.89
- Potential profit
- $112.37
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.74
- Potential profit
- $157.74
- User PnL
- -$22.28
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $127.44
- Potential profit
- $94.94
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $125.38
- Potential profit
- $124.81
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$10.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $63.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $36.5
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $34.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $65.51
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$17.51
No position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $76.46
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $13.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$11.07
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $65.25
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $87.56
- Potential payout
- $89.99
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $32.24
- Potential payout
- $72.44
- Potential profit
- $40.2
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $70.23
- Potential profit
- $69.81
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $42.52
- Potential payout
- $67.5
- Potential profit
- $24.97
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.9%
- Current value
- $41.39
- Potential payout
- $66.87
- Potential profit
- $25.48
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $25.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $24.25
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.55
Yes position
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.23
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.38
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.52
No position
No US strike on Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.97
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.06
No position
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.02
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.23
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.33
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.4
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.52
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.2
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.82
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 20.8% 35.88 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 47% 157.5 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 44% 30 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 55% 45 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 42% 22.5 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No 16% 18 shares
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes 79% 22.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 78% 134.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 100 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 20% 127.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 100 shares