Polymarket Trader

0x0d644C5d2f9b97dd178251bFe6d47DcB42EEc92E-1761758446809

0x0d644c5d2f9b97dd178251bfe6d47dcb42eec92e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.35
Realized PnL: $81.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $51.58
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$10.2

No position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$46.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $32.79
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.14
Potential profit: $31.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.3%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $26.04
Potential profit: $17.11
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $12.84
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.1

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.9
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will less than 8000 US flights be delayed on March 25?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Will Jedd Fisch be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 2?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11AM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

No 64.2% 31.14 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 63.29 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

9.4% 103.07 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.4% 26.04 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

20.9% 93.44 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Yes 61% 32.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 92.4% 21.51 shares
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 67% 5 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 76% 10 shares
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

No 99.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

No 76% 20 shares