Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $24.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $35.7
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Polymarket Trader
tariffbtc
0x0d736c936aa9cf51485420f68bfe71f73a61bda8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.57
- Realized PnL
- $17.41
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $34.86
- Potential profit
- $22.48
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 37% 16.22 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 59% 18.64 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 53.9% 6.94 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 5.43 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.8% 5.27 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 3% 10 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 3.3% 10 shares
- Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 49% 4.08 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 72% 6.94 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 80% 1.25 shares