Polymarket Trader

CW1975

0x0d7e9ddc0a0e6a7cd703ce8d1c0fd3b517a7cb13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $813.32
Realized PnL: $12.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $170.59
Potential payout: $48.74K
Potential profit: $48.57K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$11.7

Yes position

Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$13.96

Yes position

Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $999.59
Potential profit: $993.59
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $79.2
Potential payout: $800.05
Potential profit: $720.85
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: $13.89

Yes position

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $689.85
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $251.95
Potential payout: $699.87
Potential profit: $447.92
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $20.44

Yes position

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $14.34
Potential payout: $699.65
Potential profit: $685.31
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$9.46

Yes position

Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $699.54
Potential profit: $694.64
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $178.4
Potential payout: $349.8
Potential profit: $171.4
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $285.31
Potential profit: $284.02
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.37

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.68

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.62

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.6

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.15

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.98

Yes position

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.58

Yes position

Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.74

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.89

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.27

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 39.31 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 58.13 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 300 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 9,681.38 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 6,400 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 53% 50 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 74% 100 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 25% 100 shares
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 221 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 54% 40 shares
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 37% 18 shares
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 36% 63 shares