No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $405
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $595
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$29.76
Polymarket Trader
nstr
0x0d9ebe00e5e9e559494155f81ff3a9b177ef6026
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $442
- Realized PnL
- $632.91
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $962.96
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$30.51
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $810
- Potential profit
- $810
- User PnL
- -$365.4
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$557
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.26
- Potential profit
- $333.26
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$227.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$28.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.78
- Potential profit
- $233.78
- User PnL
- -$98.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.64
- Potential profit
- $218.64
- User PnL
- -$39.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.06
- Potential profit
- $215.06
- User PnL
- -$98.46
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$101.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.89
- Potential profit
- $196.89
- User PnL
- -$93.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.34
- Potential profit
- $188.34
- User PnL
- -$55.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.2
- Potential profit
- $121.2
- User PnL
- -$39.52
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$7.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $10.04
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.94
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.5
No position
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.86
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.64
Trump position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.56
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.9
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.15
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79
No position
Another ATACMS strike into Russian territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 27-November 2?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.52
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.1
No position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.45
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 45% 50 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 8.6% 500 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 45% 200 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 42.9% 150 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 5.6% 48.39 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.7% 282.93 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 4.9% 451.57 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 42.8% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 99% 39.49 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 89% 350 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 98.9% 320 shares