Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $340.19
- Potential profit
- $336.96
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.77
Polymarket Trader
Pernambucano
0x0da262dae0af2ba1498dceb915eb032246dbef4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.59
- Realized PnL
- $91.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $33.96
- Potential payout
- $275.02
- Potential profit
- $241.05
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$11.03
No position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $14.04
- Potential payout
- $214.36
- Potential profit
- $200.32
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$35.96
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $175.35
- Potential profit
- $174.21
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $108.9
- Potential profit
- $107.76
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$8.53
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.9%
- Current value
- $33.7
- Potential payout
- $93.99
- Potential profit
- $60.3
- Multiplier
- 2.79x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $12.23
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.77
- Potential profit
- $15.77
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $12.87
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.54
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.69
- Potential profit
- $8.69
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes 26% 11.54 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 87% 5.75 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No 47% 21.28 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No 59% 16.95 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 77.7% 12.87 shares
- Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes 33.3% 15.03 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 50% 20 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 50% 40 shares
- Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes 38.7% 25.84 shares
- Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes 34.4% 29.09 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 65.9% 18.07 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 65% 15.39 shares