Polymarket Trader

AlexWHLUX

0x0db3145d4cf8749473de18490d80d4d9c38e744b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.05K
Realized PnL: $6.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $838.57
Potential profit: $838.57
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $36.56
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $588.44
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$63.44

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.67
Potential profit: $376.67
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Databricks IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$20

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.01
Potential profit: $269.01
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.74
Potential profit: $267.74
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $203.95
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $59.21
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$200

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.08
Potential profit: $241.08
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $199.89
Potential payout: $223.46
Potential profit: $23.58
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 50.9%
Current value: $95.93
Potential payout: $188.32
Potential profit: $92.39
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $16.96
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $161.61
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$83.04

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.38
Potential profit: $166.38
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $99.24
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $52.27
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $109.99
Potential payout: $137.49
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $9.99

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $88.45
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $39.76
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$11.55

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $99.38
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $24.07
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $103.52
Potential profit: $3.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.61
Potential profit: $97.61
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Meta (META) Up or Down on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.87
Potential profit: $75.87
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $992.73

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.68

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.36

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.88

Yes position

1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.94

Yes position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.23

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.84

No position

Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.99

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.96

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.17

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.48

No position

Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.13

No position

Will Donald Trump Jr. be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.12

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.98

No position

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.83

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.16

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.95

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.41

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.38

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Yes 72.7% 137.49 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53.1% 188.32 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 66% 151.52 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 263.16 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 103.52 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.5% 223.46 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 78% 128.21 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 56% 178.57 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 87% 119.04 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 16% 625 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 52% 961.54 shares