No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $5.08K
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$58.48
Polymarket Trader
0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403
0x0dccfae62418c61d2f9a642e88df39702d8bd87c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.89K
- Realized PnL
- $16.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $56.56
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $61.27
Nuno Borges position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodar
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$82.24
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $55.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $98.53
Alex de Minaur position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$728
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $185.45
- Potential payout
- $254.04
- Potential profit
- $68.59
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25.04
- Potential payout
- $200.29
- Potential profit
- $175.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.97
Tommy Paul position
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.08
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- User PnL
- -$14.65
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $33.15
- Potential profit
- $32.84
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$25.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.36
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.03
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $685.69
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.21
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $606.19
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $604.34
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $603.49
Yes position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.93
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.85
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $560.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.1
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.81
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.52
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $342.12
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $337.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $271.38
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.46
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.44
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 99.7% 275.29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 67% 612.72 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 59% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 59% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 60% 15 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 63% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 62% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 62% 209.99 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 61% 65 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75.1% 56.12 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74.9% 16.65 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74.9% 16.65 shares