No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $51.85K
- Potential payout
- $52.03K
- Potential profit
- $182.12
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Polymarket Trader
DFK
0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $206.74K
- Realized PnL
- $25.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $24.88K
- Potential payout
- $26.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $272.75
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $17.54K
- Potential payout
- $18.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $12.55K
- Potential payout
- $13.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $202.58
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $12.27K
- Potential payout
- $12.98K
- Potential profit
- $714.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $64.93
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $9.3K
- Potential payout
- $9.81K
- Potential profit
- $515.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $426.28
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.78K
- Potential payout
- $9.6K
- Potential profit
- $816.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $650.96
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $7.52K
- Potential payout
- $8.44K
- Potential profit
- $928.89
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $8.31
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $7.15K
- Potential payout
- $7.99K
- Potential profit
- $838.49
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $191.42
No position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $6.67K
- Potential payout
- $6.74K
- Potential profit
- $67.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $883.57
No position
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.82K
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $280.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $100.67
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $41.83
- User PnL
- $281.64
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.46K
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $33.67
- User PnL
- $27.58
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.22K
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $135.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $653.38
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.09K
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $26.77
- User PnL
- $68.14
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.04K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $18.24
- User PnL
- $570.14
No position
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.63K
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $252.61
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $127.95
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $986.55
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$93.49
No position
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $36.39
- User PnL
- $478.1
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $367.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $142.52
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $610.83
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$56.83
No position
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $207.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $193.52
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $574.28
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $91.35
No position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $998.64
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.5
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.43
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $942.46
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $916.96
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.21
No position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.02
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.07
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $765.57
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $756.35
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.22
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.86
No position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.81
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.82
No position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $615.23
No position
Next French confidence vote passes?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.75
No position
Obama arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bill Gates charged by June 30?No 99.5% 600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 500 shares
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No 94% 6,000 shares
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No 94% 2,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?No 98.4% 20 shares
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No 94% 2,000 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 127.14 shares
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?No 91% 69.47 shares
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?No 90% 10.99 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 95.8% 569 shares