Yes position
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- User PnL
- -$32.35
Polymarket Trader
worldhappy
0x0def87742cd371af131de5310759191d8546ab31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.62K
- Realized PnL
- $334.84
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $398.54
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$112.79
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $273
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $427
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $273
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$427
No position
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $860.73
- Potential payout
- $863.75
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $620
- User PnL
- -$32.24
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289
- Potential profit
- $289
- User PnL
- -$278.02
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $114.83
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $78.98
- Potential payout
- $87.27
- Potential profit
- $8.29
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $51.34
- Potential profit
- $50.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $35.15
- Potential payout
- $35.2
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $26.58
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.8
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.31
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $41
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.11
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $16.29
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 1,503.92 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No 98.5% 27 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 89% 30 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 19.1% 2,500 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 28% 143.84 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 19.2% 3,000 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 30% 193.84 shares
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 99.4% 2,591.25 shares
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?Yes 0.7% 5,081.84 shares
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 99.4% 3,455 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 84% 626.94 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 97.9% 120.1 shares