Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $12.51
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
0x0df0...d7fe
0x0df0c989e89a823ad7385f1dcabee2cc79f2d7fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $113.79
- Realized PnL
- -$0.16
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $18.2
- Potential payout
- $957.7
- Potential profit
- $939.51
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $366.51
- Potential profit
- $356.8
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $128.85
- Potential profit
- $124.92
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$8.18
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $116.88
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $123.05
- Potential profit
- $122.43
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.9%
- Current value
- $55.87
- Potential payout
- $103.66
- Potential profit
- $47.79
- Multiplier
- 1.86x
- User PnL
- $54.86
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 7% 60 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.6% 300 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.6% 200 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.8% 85.88 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 3% 15.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 10.64 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.8% 38.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 1.9% 67.78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 1.9% 11.16 shares