Polymarket Trader

Madsolbro

0x0e091edf1f6aa768f60407314147faaf3c1d05bb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.27K
Realized PnL: $1.34K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.01K
Potential profit: $21.01K
User PnL: -$149.98

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $9.04K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $70.45
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$29.54

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $96.34
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $112.26
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $136.63
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $36.63

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $77.33
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$22.67

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $69.34
Potential payout: $943.4
Potential profit: $874.06
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$30.66

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $117.89
Potential payout: $917.43
Potential profit: $799.54
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $17.89

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $178.06
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $446.94
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $128.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $114.6
Potential payout: $621.12
Potential profit: $506.52
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $82.73
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $523.33
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$17.27

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $166.13
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $156.45
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $66.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.27

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.34

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $225.49

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.51

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.13

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Yes position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.59

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.37

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.58

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.74

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.73

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump dance today?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 77% 1,298.7 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 1% 1,000 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 18% 1,315.78 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.3% 16,666.67 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 8% 625 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

No 31% 322.58 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 71% 1,408.45 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 68% 294.12 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 80% 625 shares
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5

Over 88% 1,136.36 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 51% 2,333.46 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 81% 1,234.57 shares