Polymarket Trader

Unlaberinto

0x0e0b375f8d8fc5d58e7cd2265d29b1767dfaa0f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.02
Realized PnL: $48.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.25
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $34.49
Potential profit: $33.71
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $27.42
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $13.68
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.08
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 16, 2027

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $14.98
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $6.34
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.74
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.67

Team Aether position

Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 25 shares
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Yes 2.4% 5 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 16.9% 5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 29.4% 5 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 5 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 12% 5 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 168 shares
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 56% 5 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 13% 15 shares
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 10 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.4% 5 shares