JPLP

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $6.37K
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $388.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $302.61

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $6.54K
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $92.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $773.51

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.29
Potential payout: $6.58K
Potential profit: $6.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.41

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.74K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $556.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $566.4

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $42.5
User PnL: $646.29

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.1%
Current value: $801.6
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 3.99x
User PnL: -$109.52

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $790.49
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $71.54

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.45

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $16.2
User PnL: $62.1

No position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $175.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $49.69

Yes position

Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $291.09
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $225.48

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.39K
User PnL: -$6.47

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.52

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $97.15
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $83.71

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $234.01

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.05K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $32.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $116.31

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $65.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $135.14

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $104.76
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $104.27

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $184
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $74.01

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$79.93

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $166.41
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $126.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.05K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Simion position

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?