yayatrader

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $23.63
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$5.51

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $13.24
Potential payout: $645.93
Potential profit: $632.69
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $41.26
Potential payout: $634.71
Potential profit: $593.45
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $624.55
Potential profit: $618.62
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $32.59
Potential payout: $543.18
Potential profit: $510.59
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$5.38

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $29.95
Potential payout: $539.61
Potential profit: $509.66
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $25.14
Potential payout: $474.35
Potential profit: $449.21
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $24.83
Potential payout: $473.03
Potential profit: $448.2
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $64.29
Potential payout: $370.77
Potential profit: $306.48
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $292.8
Potential profit: $288.26
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $289.8
Potential profit: $285.02
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Iran leadership change by July 31?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $11.73
Potential payout: $286.21
Potential profit: $274.48
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $16.97
Potential payout: $230.91
Potential profit: $213.94
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $97.94
Potential payout: $186.55
Potential profit: $88.61
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $175.24
Potential profit: $173.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $69.4
Potential payout: $170.78
Potential profit: $101.38
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: -$7.83

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $167.64
Potential profit: $161.6
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $6.78
Potential payout: $126.7
Potential profit: $119.92
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$5.04

Kilian Feldbausch position

Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.65
Potential profit: $113.65
User PnL: -$18.85

No position

Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $111.82
Potential profit: $105.28
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $111.41
Potential profit: $95.81
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $43.88
Potential payout: $109.7
Potential profit: $65.82
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$2.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Aleksandar Vukic position

Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broady

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.68

Ilinca Amariei position

Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Herea

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.24

Miguel Damas position

Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.7

Luca Van Assche position

Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.08

Dominic Stephan Stricker position

Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Yes position

Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

No position

Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Nicolas Arseneault position

Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Ekaterina Perelygina position

Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelygina

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

Filippo Romano position

Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $4.33

Anastasia Gasanova position

Istanbul 2: Anastasia Gasanova vs Susan Bandecchi

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will FURIA Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.06

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Désiré Doué: 1+ assists

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.14

Charles Broom position

Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Rikuya Hoshino finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.5

Carmen Andreea Herea position

Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Herea