No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.1%
- Current value
- $16.76
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Polymarket Trader
0x0E3E30CfA6F9314d1108329E38385D0Bdb55c58B-1782143890226
0x0e3e30cfa6f9314d1108329e38385d0bdb55c58b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.36
- Realized PnL
- $90.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $14.59
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.1%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $6.31
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.4%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $5.93
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $5.93
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $4.66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $1.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $5.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 6?No 99% 5.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?No 99.3% 7.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 6?No 99% 6.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?No 99.1% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?No 99.7% 6.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 6?No 99% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?No 99.2% 5.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?No 99.9% 6.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?No 99.1% 6.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?No 79% 6.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 6?No 99% 6.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 6?No 79% 5 shares