Polymarket Trader

ocelote

0x0e3efc8045e88f44047638ae8a097df893bc692a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.71K
Realized PnL: $37.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $410.52
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $186.1

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $16.17
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$208.25

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $48.52
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$175.9

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $410.52
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $335.88

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.73
Potential payout: $548
Potential profit: $536.27
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$16.31

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $209.01
Potential profit: $207.23
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.85
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.43
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $18.16
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $190.84
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: $17.25

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $203.25
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.64
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.22
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.64
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.64
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.43
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.64
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.43
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $204.72
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $206.81
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.64
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $206.81
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $207.64
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $84.65
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $124.36
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $201.27
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $4.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will BTC close above $106K on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $945.56

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $803.56

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.87

No position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $723.61

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $679.28

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $648.64

Yes position

New Pope announced by May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.15

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $555.5

Yes position

Will another person win the Bolivian election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.67

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.61

No position

Will the next pop be elected in 3 days?

Ends May 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.01

Yes position

Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.63

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.98

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.59

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $398.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?

No 11.8% 314 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.5% 6 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.5% 7 shares
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?

No 11.5% 80 shares
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?

No 9.2% 5 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.6% 5 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.6% 5 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.6% 5 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.6% 5 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.6% 5 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 87.6% 5 shares
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?

No 9.2% 154 shares