Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $510.91
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $663.6
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$36.09
Polymarket Trader
noname-
0x0e4f665a1923bffe3c9c7194ae612bee06a0b706
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $981.41
- Realized PnL
- $307.01
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $27.94
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $266.18
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$22.06
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $227.86
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $57.86
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $27.86
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $106.99
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $92.99
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $107.71
- Potential payout
- $152.78
- Potential profit
- $45.07
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.14
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $39.68
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $27.78
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $15.49
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of June 15 2026?Yes 15.2% 66.66 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?Yes 5.1% 208.24 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?Yes 82% 32.92 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?No 15% 32.9 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?Yes 18% 0.73 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 39% 15.73 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 38% 135.22 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 61% 39.68 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 71% 48.47 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 26% 89.28 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 38% 1.58 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes 60% 5 shares