Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $127.75K
- Potential payout
- $700K
- Potential profit
- $572.25K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$222.25K
Polymarket Trader
JAHODA
@JAHODA_J
0x0e5bd76779e74304d08e759072abf126d87da593
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.1M
- Realized PnL
- $1.68M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $572.25K
- Potential payout
- $700K
- Potential profit
- $127.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $222.25K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $399.4K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.69K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.35K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.32K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.97K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.11K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.76K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $46.71K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.81K
Yes position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.83K
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.32K
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04K
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $6.59K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 643,175.11 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 50,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 4,170.66 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.7% 7,167.91 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 3,479.87 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.8% 11,334.01 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 7,355.99 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 97.1% 170.6 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 97.9% 852.41 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.1% 2,610.96 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 96.9% 933.55 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.5% 5,000 shares