Polymarket Trader

0x0E78BEb37aDc489a117BCD03c7230d7bCa8203c7-1769102132000

0x0e78beb37adc489a117bcd03c7230d7bca8203c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.37
Realized PnL: $494.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.04
Potential profit: $318.04
User PnL: -$7.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.34
Potential profit: $198.34
User PnL: -$25.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.04
Potential profit: $170.04
User PnL: -$31.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.34
Potential profit: $148.34
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.44
Potential profit: $130.44
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $24.38
Potential profit: $17.32
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $22.33
Potential profit: $13.02
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.64
Potential profit: $15.64
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.2

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 23.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 23.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 27.2% 18.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 25.8% 19.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 7.5% 17.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 25.3% 3.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 67% 7.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 68% 7.35 shares