Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.63K
- Potential profit
- $61.63K
- User PnL
- -$2.95K
Polymarket Trader
mottledpurplelizard
0x0e7ae199df2ca8840f0e72730b8a1cfb25ad8ba1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $222.18
- Realized PnL
- $3K
- Win rate
- 56.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.23K
- User PnL
- -$177.11
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $805.49
- Potential profit
- $805.49
- User PnL
- -$152.36
No position
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.22
- Potential profit
- $766.22
- User PnL
- -$74.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $222.18
- Potential payout
- $225.91
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $618.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.02
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.98
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $346
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$307.49
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$679.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$736
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.6% 1,499.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 95.9% 1,322.12 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 95.6% 1,369.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.2% 6,438 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 5.4% 9,973.87 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 5.2% 7,871.59 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99% 1,999.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 4.8% 13,032.07 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 4.7% 8,599.04 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 4.6% 7,157.6 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 4.5% 11,990.9 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 3.6% 3,000 shares