Polymarket Trader

darrensm

0x0e7ca4052754276313327cee0b1daf305983239f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.35
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $13.96
Potential profit: $13.93
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.74
Potential profit: $13.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.54
Potential profit: $13.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $13.44
Potential profit: $13.24
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.75
Potential profit: $12.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.65
Potential profit: $12.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $12.28
Potential profit: $12.05
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $11.86
Potential profit: $11.55
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $11.15
Potential profit: $10.54
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $8.48
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $9.83
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $10.08
Potential profit: $9.26
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $9.93
Potential profit: $6.51
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $9.31
Potential profit: $8.79
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $9.31
Potential profit: $7.3
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $9.16
Potential profit: $9.11
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $7.64
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $7.72
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $7.59
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $5.58
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?

Yes 8% 8.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 11?

Yes 13% 8.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 10.1% 9.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?

Yes 15.8% 9.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 31% 9.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?

Yes 9% 10.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 9% 10.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 11?

Yes 20% 10.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?

Yes 33% 10.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?

Yes 11% 11.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Yes 19% 7.59 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?

Yes 17% 7.72 shares