Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $8.34
- Potential payout
- $21.66
- Potential profit
- $13.32
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Polymarket Trader
0x0e8f...dce4
0x0e8f444b8dd2e1cfd6ed0e9e20d2e311f790dce4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $65.58
- Realized PnL
- $113.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $12.21
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $11.66
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $11.45
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $11.18
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $7.68
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.43
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.7%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.47
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Yes position
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Microsoft dip to $390 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 74.1% 6.85 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26% 6.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?No 27% 6 shares
- Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 35% 3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 24% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 77% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 55% 8.65 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 46% 8 shares
- Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?Yes 41% 11 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 88% 6.07 shares