Polymarket Trader

iufjfhefi78

0x0ea10edc7ba2f37c86674d572af974bd3002c714

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.2
Realized PnL: $35.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.69
Potential profit: $79.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.2
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.58
Potential profit: $32.58
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.76
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.13
Potential profit: $13.13
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.44
Potential profit: $12.44
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.08
Potential profit: $8.08
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 70.9%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $7.42

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 72%
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $0.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 29% 3.45 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 30% 3.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?

No 0.8% 125 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?

Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 58% 4.34 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 22.3% 4.48 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

No 52% 1.92 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Yes 48% 1.33 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

No 3.6% 20.83 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?

Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 20% 5 shares