ocene

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $247.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.75K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$196.38

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $246.43
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $6.9K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $146.44

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $76.32
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.19K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$23.68

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $979.94
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $18.78
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.68K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $13.66

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$122

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $9

No position

SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $188.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $811.5
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$120.34

Yes position

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $250.03
Potential profit: $216.27
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $136.4
Potential profit: $130.94
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.74
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $954.32

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $761.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $302.84

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.16

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ShindeN (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffs

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.72

VP.Prodigy position

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Connecticut Huskies position

Georgetown Hoyas vs. Connecticut Huskies

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

ENCE Academy position

Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Southern Miss Golden Eagles position

Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Utah Tech Trailblazers position

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

VP.Prodigy position

Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Montana State Bobcats position

Montana State Bobcats vs. Montana Grizzlies

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Omaha Mavericks position

Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.19

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.63

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$76.08

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?