No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.5K
- Potential profit
- $113.5K
- User PnL
- -$120.42
Polymarket Trader
Wan234
0x0ebfcd3efd430309fe2d421f06ace87d6ba25bfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.09K
- Realized PnL
- $10.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $650
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.35K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.07K
- Potential profit
- $94.07K
- User PnL
- -$22.68K
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $260
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.74K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $6.94K
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $31.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$353.7
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $5.91K
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $32.09K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $6.1K
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $31.9K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$310.38
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$249.99
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $20.23K
- Potential profit
- $19.17K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $271.1
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.94K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.8K
- User PnL
- -$121.1
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.66
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$62.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$256.28
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$660
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $852.54
- Potential profit
- $852.54
- User PnL
- -$152.06
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.28
- Potential profit
- $750.28
- User PnL
- -$362.02
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290.75
- Potential profit
- $290.75
- User PnL
- -$20.35
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$18.7
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $24.48
- Potential payout
- $70.99
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.25
- Potential profit
- $22.25
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $8.63
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976.8
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.48
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $291.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.77
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $261.03
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.55
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.59
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.39
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.06
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.16
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.56
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.93
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.08
Yes position
Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Yes position
Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.23
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $50.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 8.63 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 18% 7.68 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 25% 7.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 985 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1.2% 144.17 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 0.3% 1,390 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 0.3% 18,000 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 0.2% 34,073.66 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.3% 732.33 shares
- Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 0.4% 5,230 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 0.4% 1,250 shares