No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $49.28K
- Potential payout
- $53.57K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.78K
Polymarket Trader
-0-
0x0eee1b21001ca9af6e5ab8a7321fc2ee46dd4c52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.61K
- Realized PnL
- $4.49K
- Win rate
- 59.1%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $48.27K
- Potential payout
- $51.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $40K
- Potential payout
- $44.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.66K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- User PnL
- $102.05
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $771.35
- Potential payout
- $843.01
- Potential profit
- $71.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $21.51
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Current value
- $441.71
- Potential payout
- $564.49
- Potential profit
- $122.78
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$15.52
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $95.81
- Potential payout
- $119.01
- Potential profit
- $23.21
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.48
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.81
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.5
No position
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.96
No position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.76
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
No position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.78
No position
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
India x Pakistan military clash by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0
100 Thieves position
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.67
Top Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.3
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$652.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 1,250 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 106.85 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 89.8 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 89% 312.18 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 10,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.6% 23,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97% 20,664.15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.5% 13,133.71 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 81% 564.49 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97% 15,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97% 1,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 94.4% 650 shares