Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $260
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.74K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Picador
0x0eeed0b0adf5fabd1831c8ba286964e243c15b68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.3K
- Realized PnL
- $3.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $915
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $135
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $126.33
- Potential payout
- $183.12
- Potential profit
- $56.79
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$32.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.18
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.49
No position
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.1
No position
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.77
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.82
No position
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.73
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $120.69
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103
Yes position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $102
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.76
No position
Will Israel strike Yemen 5 or more times by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.88
No position
US forces in Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.02
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.61
No position
Fed governor resigns by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.83
No position
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.22
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.55
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $10.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.8% 500 shares
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.1% 1,345 shares
- Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81% 3,800.93 shares
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85% 1,345 shares
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 78% 1,400 shares
- Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93% 500 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No 97.3% 2,504.11 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 90.5% 2,000 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No 97.1% 71.84 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 87.9% 299.88 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 87% 200 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 96.3% 1,000 shares