Mitchcameup

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $721.99
Potential profit: $721.99
User PnL: -$19.11

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.26
Potential profit: $542.26
User PnL: -$293.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $470
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377.07
Potential profit: $377.07
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.38
Potential profit: $195.38
User PnL: -$40.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.23
Potential profit: $189.23
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$66.3

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.87
Potential profit: $163.87
User PnL: -$81.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $151
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$2.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.92
Potential profit: $143.92
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $16.19
Potential payout: $125.99
Potential profit: $109.8
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.86

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.26

Under position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.84

$2k position

Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $2.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?