Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $103.18
- Potential payout
- $625.31
- Potential profit
- $522.14
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $3.18
Polymarket Trader
0x0f1C6Db140E7B58C85115F2C48cE1c6Fa47e3A66-1767777397328
0x0f1c6db140e7b58c85115f2c48ce1c6fa47e3a66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $320.28
- Realized PnL
- $246.72
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $94.49
- Potential payout
- $207.67
- Potential profit
- $113.18
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $68.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $56.88
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$6.88
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $48.86
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $71.63
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $66.25
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$34.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.19
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$82.36
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 45.7% 207.67 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 9% 347.75 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 3.4% 204.47 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 43.7% 204.48 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 39.6% 252.43 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?No 92.8% 53.9 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 82% 91.46 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 60% 125 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 16% 625.31 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.5% 120.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 51.4% 97.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 60.4% 414 shares