No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $107.51
- Potential payout
- $118.8
- Potential profit
- $11.29
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.51
Polymarket Trader
nwwsfww
0x0f2120407947525c128d8a1938127a32545534ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $381.06
- Realized PnL
- -$171.63
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $114.24
- Potential payout
- $114.99
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $108.21
- Potential payout
- $110.76
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $51.09
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.45
No position
Will Trump say 'Hamas' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.35
Yes position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.33
No position
Will Trump say 'Putin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.96
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 69% 72.46 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 84.2% 118.8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.5% 266.15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 94% 110.76 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No 97.1% 107.9 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes 69% 71.48 shares
- Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes 2.5% 66.66 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes 6% 149.39 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes 15% 49.79 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes 15% 199.17 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes 37% 56.76 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes 60% 37.24 shares