No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$370
Polymarket Trader
Sylvester.the.Cat
0x0f2bcf469f85fe746058f3a0767d24124d0d665a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.38K
- Realized PnL
- -$356.6
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $5.76K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$237.32
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.3K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $702.56
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$185.47
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $3.78K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$845.98
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.38K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $625
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $275
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $425
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $127.57
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $4.15K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $850
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $556.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $4.79K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $492
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $159.97
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.2%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$495.57
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $3.35K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$115.04
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $619.21
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $220
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $660
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $340
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $470.31
- Potential payout
- $500.33
- Potential profit
- $30.02
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.71
Yes position
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $484.5
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$34.5
No position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $434.6
- Potential payout
- $499.54
- Potential profit
- $64.94
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $6.07
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $205.44
- Potential payout
- $222.1
- Potential profit
- $16.66
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$240
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$682.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 5,000 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 85.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 85.2% 6 shares
- Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No 89% 98 shares
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No 68.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 79% 174.39 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 74.4% 1,751.01 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 89.6% 3,000 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 90.8% 151 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 89.3% 745 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 82.1% 670.54 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 10 shares