No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $57.3
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $22.3
Polymarket Trader
0x0f36...7d79
0x0f362aef49b1d573a8aa9180ff3177f9638f7d79
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $142.35
- Realized PnL
- -$50.46
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $6.97
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.75x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$16.9
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- -$22.01
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 11 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 22% 14 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 86.4% 12 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 9 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 23.1% 14 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 76.9% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 95% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 54% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.9% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 89.7% 6 shares