Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $6.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $286.9
Polymarket Trader
sunsanity
@sunsanity159
0x0f79abfe17a516c896ee31ef1b614c35b06dc23e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.99K
- Realized PnL
- -$16.75K
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $993.75
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$150.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $838.23
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.28
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.05
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.02
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$611.27
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.3K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 40 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 160 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 590 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 2,000 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 55% 1,677.31 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 67.3% 7,434.71 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 69% 7,246.39 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 73.1% 6,837.24 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 18.6% 9,887 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 94.8% 7,365.54 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 96.2% 5,746.49 shares