Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- User PnL
- $68
Polymarket Trader
Arden312
0x0f9154467d38d4065f74b18c6d433d4f1f46558c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $735.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will House of the Dragon Season 3 premiere by June 21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $230.72
- Potential payout
- $237.85
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $220.78
- Potential payout
- $222.34
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- $1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.30% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.53
No position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $136
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.81
No position
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.32
No position
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.34
Yes position
Will Google say "Alphabet" during earnings call?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.49
Yes position
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.20% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will Google say "Advertising" or "Advertisement" during earnings call?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.55
No position
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
Yes position
Will Google say "YouTube" during earnings call?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Will Robinhood say "Gold" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.12
No position
Will Trump meet with Andy Jassy in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.78
No position
Chris Christie charged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
New "The Boys" episode released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
Vanta IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Y
Yes position
Will Oracle say "Growth" during earnings call?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will S&P Global say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Robinhood say "Prediction" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will House of the Dragon Season 3 premiere by June 21?Yes 99% 85.39 shares
- Will House of the Dragon Season 3 premiere by June 21?Yes 98.9% 5.06 shares
- Will House of the Dragon Season 3 premiere by June 21?Yes 94.8% 94.1 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 99.1% 90 shares
- Will "Monster" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?No 8% 12.46 shares
- Will House of the Dragon Season 3 premiere by June 21?Yes 96.1% 1.67 shares
- Will "Monster" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?No 10% 10 shares
- Will "Monster" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?No 13.1% 7.9 shares
- Will "Monster" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?No 16% 6 shares
- Will House of the Dragon Season 3 premiere by June 21?Yes 94.7% 51.64 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 99% 50 shares
- Will "Monster" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?Yes 81% 5.26 shares