No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $56.85K
- Potential payout
- $60.77K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $49.16
Polymarket Trader
ElectricSamurai
0x0f9bf99cb7f86d70704edab6c7a234bc09bf7829
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.48K
- Realized PnL
- $70.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $17.82K
- Potential payout
- $19.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $173.65
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.42K
- Potential payout
- $8.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $213.36
No position
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.27K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $29.13
- User PnL
- $325.58
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$130.05
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $999.96
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Nets position
Nets vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $649.16
- Potential profit
- $649.16
- User PnL
- -$19.42
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $386.39
- Potential profit
- $386.39
- User PnL
- -$197.06
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $362.5
- Potential profit
- $362.5
- User PnL
- -$290
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$148.99
Kings position
Kings vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.74
- Potential profit
- $277.74
- User PnL
- -$19.44
Bucks position
Bucks vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.16
- Potential profit
- $216.16
- User PnL
- -$19.45
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.27
- Potential profit
- $162.27
- User PnL
- -$19.47
Pacers position
Pistons vs. Pacers
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.27
- Potential profit
- $162.27
- User PnL
- -$19.47
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.83
- Potential profit
- $149.83
- User PnL
- -$19.48
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $122.04
- Potential payout
- $147.93
- Potential profit
- $25.89
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $11.04
Knicks position
Hornets vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.17
- Potential profit
- $139.17
- User PnL
- -$19.48
Wizards position
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.38
- Potential profit
- $108.38
- User PnL
- -$19.51
Gen.G position
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $80.65
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$16
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Heat
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.45
- Potential profit
- $72.45
- User PnL
- -$19.56
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.63
- Potential profit
- $68.63
- User PnL
- -$15
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Mavericks
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.27
- Potential profit
- $65.27
- User PnL
- -$19.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59K
Yes position
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
JD Gaming position
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
T1 position
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Thunder position
Pacers vs. Thunder
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $784.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 11,992.68 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 11,000 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 183.15 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 82% 180.49 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 220.9 shares
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxAtlanta Braves 54% 1.85 shares
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxAtlanta Braves 54% 1.85 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 11 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 99.1% 7,103.01 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 400 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 1,473.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 40 shares