Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $51.67
- Potential profit
- $49.34
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Polymarket Trader
Styresman
0x0fa368c97da06d1c5a180032210f5746efb2e9c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22
- Realized PnL
- $1.37
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $49.3
- Potential profit
- $48.53
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $25.65
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.49
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $8.55
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- Multiplier
- 4.63x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $6.18
- Potential profit
- $4.66
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $5.87
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 6.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?Yes 16.2% 6.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?Yes 38% 3.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 5?Yes 2% 49.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?Yes 17% 5.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 5?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 5?Yes 1.9% 51.67 shares