Yes position
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.03
- Potential profit
- $159.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Tynan1
0x0fac37616716008e04716812ee5a64a9f5b66de3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.45
- Realized PnL
- $12.93
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.08
- Potential profit
- $30.08
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $17.39
- Potential profit
- $16.26
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.94
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.02
- Potential profit
- $12.02
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.7
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $7.56
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- Multiplier
- 6.62x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.77
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Brown Bears position
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogs
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.29
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Sentinels position
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffs
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Team Liquid position
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Heroic position
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Voca position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffs
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Favbet position
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Team Liquid position
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes 0.6% 159.03 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 70% 5 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 29.8% 3.36 shares
- Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes 9.8% 10.2 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes 8.3% 12.02 shares
- Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Yes 9% 11.11 shares