Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $315.61
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$472.27
Polymarket Trader
TheSwedishWolf
0x0fafcd98288de61a3350b24b8a1ecc1284bdd0d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $786.54
- Realized PnL
- $11.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $100.29
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$149.71
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $239.24
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$10.76
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $122.42
- Potential payout
- $644.33
- Potential profit
- $521.91
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $239.51
- Potential profit
- $230.53
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$41.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.57
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.01
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.25
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.19
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $319.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.51
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.13
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $230.66
Yes position
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.74
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.66
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.69
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $208.35
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.98
Yes position
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.39
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 29.1% 82.47 shares
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?Yes 7% 357.14 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.1% 1,655.63 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.4% 644.33 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 15.2% 823.51 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 32.9% 486.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 1% 300 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 30% 133.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 2.8% 355.62 shares
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Over 37.6% 45.26 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes 0.1% 60 shares
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes 99.9% 43.1 shares