No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $3.66
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
0x0fb8...f53b
0x0fb872ebf52836365ea31042569821967754f53b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.02
- Realized PnL
- $0.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 90% 3.33 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 82% 3.66 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 81% 4 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No 95% 1.05 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 75% 4 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 73% 4.28 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 95% 1.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 90% 1.32 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 70% 4.29 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.6% 2.03 shares