anismanlomataron1334

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $8.82
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.16
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $10.82
Potential profit: $8.71
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.75

Over position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.34
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the game go to extra innings?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Denver Summit FC vs. Houston Dash: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $4.57
User PnL: -$1

Rebecca Marino position

ITF Columbus: Rebecca Marino vs Julieta Pareja

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $4.27
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.03

Daniel Michalski position

Swiss Open, Qualification: Daniel Michalski vs Calvin Hemery

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.18
Potential profit: $4.18
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $4.08
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Spirit Academy position

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Aruzhan Sagandikova position

ITF Astana: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Kamonwan Yodpetch

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

EAC Rising position

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs EAC Rising (BO3) - United21 Group D

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Federico Agustin Gomez position

Croatia Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

5star position

Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Orlando Magic position

NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Cleveland Guardians position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Over position

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5