Polymarket Trader

gustonator

0x0fee8873d1d2e9acfa13d1ac008c19bca4ff5fa1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.54
Realized PnL: $76.22
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $88.6
Potential profit: $84.09
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $29.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $29.42
Potential profit: $19.56
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $24.93
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.27

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $20.97
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $8.69
Potential payout: $16.56
Potential profit: $7.86
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 80% 1.25 shares
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

No 31% 3.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 47% 4.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 33% 3.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 36% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Down 99% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Down 98% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 36% 13.89 shares