Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $26.42
- Potential payout
- $28.41
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Polymarket Trader
Kaelthornee
0x0ff107b851c36288d4ff6fe819af8209f941d213
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.42
- Realized PnL
- $3.47
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.69
- Potential profit
- $23.69
- User PnL
- -$6.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 28.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 25.73 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No 98.5% 22.26 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No 98.8% 22.27 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 96% 23.21 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94.8% 23.21 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No 99.5% 2.04 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No 99.8% 2.46 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 96.4% 18.63 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 96.6% 18.63 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 80.5% 22.74 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 92.3% 22.74 shares