Polymarket Trader

perfectnostalgia

0x0ffcad4963e25dc150774363f4061ebe840c8236

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $69.66K
Realized PnL: $168.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.97K
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $889.44
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$40.69

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.66K
Potential payout: $11.46K
Potential profit: $9.8K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.02K

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $10.91K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $93.5
User PnL: $510.16

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $9.59K
Potential payout: $10.96K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 42.2%
Current value: $4.39K
Potential payout: $10.41K
Potential profit: $6.02K
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $8.94K
Potential profit: $5.75K
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $6.36K
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $3.15K

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $5.48K
Potential payout: $5.51K
Potential profit: $38.6
User PnL: $620.76

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $800
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $90.01

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $218.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $195.84

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $96.52
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$348.43

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.7%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $843.17
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.38K
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $138.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $233.92

Yes position

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $33.06
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$42.2

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $100.69
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$546.45

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $268.15
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$212.36

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $341.79
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$131.46

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $48.8
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $292.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $24.71
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $17.27

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $61.53
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $115.17

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$50.4

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $987.65
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $25.84
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $81.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.36K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1K

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12K

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86K

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

Yes position

No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 37.8% 220 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 37.3% 110 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 36.8% 89.03 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 35.3% 108.67 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Yes 40.7% 320 shares
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

No 94% 2,193.07 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Yes 39.1% 294.68 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Yes 38.7% 55 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Yes 38.9% 75 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 27.5% 214.1 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 22.8% 69.04 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Yes 34.2% 370 shares