Polymarket Trader

0x101699b91E73df09bCEeE2a8E85aBab8F7702A3A-1775155157646

0x101699b91e73df09bceee2a8e85abab8f7702a3a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.23
Realized PnL: -$23.66
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $81.53
Potential profit: $69.3
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$11.11

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.25
Potential profit: $81.25
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.89

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.13

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 63% 4.22 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 61.11 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 0.6% 14.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 34% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 52% 1.79 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 61.11 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 42% 27.44 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 30% 13.33 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 8% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 75% 11.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Down 58% 1.62 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 51% 11.37 shares