No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $13.37
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Polymarket Trader
0x101f...c34e
0x101f83993fa8067ed240c408984a4800b677c34e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.06
- Realized PnL
- $99.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $14.09
- Potential profit
- $14.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.19
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $12.6
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $6.36
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Over position
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Gibraltar position
Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Over position
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Mexico position
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Over position
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Andorra position
Spread: Andorra (-1.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Under position
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Under position
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Over position
RCA Zemamra vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Cambodia position
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Mongolia position
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5)
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Under position
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes 56% 8.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.8% 14.09 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under 32% 3.13 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Down 65% 12.18 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under 23% 4.35 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 6 2026?No 72% 6.08 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under 30% 3.37 shares
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under 27% 3.7 shares