Polymarket Trader

paracels

0x101facdf34f80c5abe1f5213309df697d8d5f79a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $268.44
Realized PnL: $30.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $96.73
Potential payout: $351.74
Potential profit: $255.01
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $90.28
Potential payout: $231.48
Potential profit: $141.2
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $81.44
Potential payout: $133.51
Potential profit: $52.07
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $793.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 9.9% 10,082.3 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 2.17 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 5 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

No 69% 7.17 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 466.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Up 72% 28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 72% 56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Up 66.8% 28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Up 69% 84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 70% 56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 69.7% 28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 70% 28 shares