Polymarket Trader

the-hedgehog-2

0x1022fb7b4b363a5c522b6854560309aa69f7174a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.91
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $66.44
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $66.54
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$4.94

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Deni Avdija be on the cover of NBA 2K27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.59
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $165B by June 30?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.03

U 86.5 position

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the Atlanta Dream make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?

Ends Sep 25, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the Miami Marlins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.67
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.4
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Reds win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the St. Louis Cardinals win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.1

U 78.5 position

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.83
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

No 11% 10 shares
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Yes 13% 2.06 shares
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes 12% 10 shares
Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

No 12% 10 shares
Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

No 12% 10 shares
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $165B by June 30?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No 11% 10 shares